199 growth moves at 69 investor-backed companies, each checked against a source.
This is the file behind the library. It records what investor-backed companies say they will do to grow, and what a dated public source shows they have done. The companies are live, so this page shows counts and patterns. Readings of single companies are shared in conversation.
Six kinds of growth move, five levels of evidence.
Each move is recorded as a change from one state to another, then checked once against a public source. The table shows how far the evidence goes for each kind of move.
| Kind of move | Moves | Done or under way | Announced | Aim or partly shown | No public evidence | Went the other way |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New country | 64 | 21 | 16 | 17 | 6 | 4 |
| New channel | 53 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 1 |
| Product or brand | 33 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 1 |
| Organisation | 32 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| Ownership or portfolio | 30 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| Business model | 13 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| All moves | 199 | 83 | 33 | 45 | 32 | 6 |
Four things that stand out.
Countries are promised. Channels are opened.
Of 64 new-country moves, 21 are done or under way and 26 are still a promise: 16 announced and 10 stated as an aim. For channels it is the other way round: 28 done or under way against 14 promised.
When a move goes the other way, it is usually a country.
Six moves went against the plan on file. Four of them involve a new country: a market closed, a market the company no longer names, a foreign unit running at a loss, and distributors bought out to go direct.
The first two years carry the action.
Where the investor arrived in 2025 or 2026, about seven in ten moves are confirmed. Where the investor arrived in 2022 or earlier, it is about four in ten, and more than half of the undated aims sit there.
Organisation is the part you cannot see from outside.
32 moves are about who runs the new market and what gets built centrally. Nine are done or under way. Eleven have no public evidence at all, the highest share of any kind of move.
The moves you can read in full
Five moves that have fully played out are published as cases: Flying Tiger Copenhagen, Action, Getir, Wolt and N26. They are separate from the 69 companies counted here.
Open the growth-move libraryWhy the companies are not named
Most of the 69 are in the middle of the move. I do not publish a reading of a live company from the outside. If you run or own one of them, the reading is yours to ask for.
Want the reading on one company?
Ask what the file holds on your company or your sector. Public sources only, and a short call to go through it.